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The aquatic environment of the coastal Arctic is rapidly changing, and understanding how this change will affect the coastal ocean is critical across sectors. To address this, a three-dimensional (3-D) hydrodynamic model was constructed, spanning the coastal Beaufort Sea from −153° to −142° W, explicitly including river delta channels and lagoons, and extending to the continental shelf. The Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM) was used to predict ocean physical properties from January 2018 to September 2022, including dynamic sea ice and landfast ice. Model calibration and validation were conducted using a variety of data sources, includingin situhydrodynamic data from oceanographic cruises and moorings. Overall, the model captured interannual temperature variation at Prudhoe Bay from 2018 to 2022 with a model efficiency (MEF) score > 0 (better than the average) for all years (MEF = 0.59, 0.63, 0.23, 0.46, and 0.55). The seasonal temperatures in 2018 and 2019 at bottom-mounted moorings were also well captured (R²= 0.80–0.90), and sea surface height (SSH) was compared to hourly observations at Prudhoe Bay, with both the low-frequency (R²= 0.42) and diurnal (R²= 0.71) variations validated over the model period. Modeled salinity and water current velocity had mixed results compared to the observations: seasonal trends in salinity were generally captured well, but hypersaline lagoon conditions in the winter were not replicated. Measured bottom water velocity proved difficult to recreate within the model for any given point in time from 2018 to 2019. Covariance analyses of the surface wind velocity, SSH, and current velocity indicated that wind forcing significantly correlated to errors in local SSH predictions. Current velocity covaried substantially less with SSH and wind velocity, with large differences across the three moorings: this suggests that local factors such as bathymetry and shielding by islands are likely important. Future work building on this system will include analyses of the drivers of landfast ice and sea ice breakup; the potential for erosion via waves, large storms, and elevated surface temperatures; and the linkage to an ecosystem model that represents processes from carbon cycling to higher trophic levels. 

Key Points Modeled dissolved organic carbon export was 18.4 Tg C yr ‐1 (median) from 1982‐2019 for the six largest Arctic Rivers Proportional contributions of chromophoric to total dissolved organic carbon (CDOC & DOC) are positively correlated with water discharge Increasing discharge and shifting seasonality, independent of other factors, would have increased CDOC and DOC export from 1982‐2019 

Key Points Total organic carbon export out of the delta to the ocean from April to September 2019 was 1.5 Tg C, 65% of which was dissolved organic carbon 50% and 25% of the total delta export of dissolved and particulate organic carbon crossed the 10 m isobath into the coastal ocean The breakdown of riverine organic matter increases light for phytoplankton growth in the surface ocean 100 s of kilometers into the ocean 

Arctic landscapes are warming and becoming wetter due to changes in precipitation and the timing of snowmelt which consequently alters seasonal runoff and river discharge patterns. These changes in hydrology lead to increased mobilization and transport of terrestrial dissolved organic matter (DOM) to Arctic coastal seas where significant impacts on biogeochemical cycling can occur. Here, we present measurements of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and chromophoric DOM (CDOM) in the Yukon River-to-Bering Sea system and two river plumes on the Alaska North Slope which flow into the Beaufort Sea. Our sampling characterized optical and biogeochemical properties of DOM during high and low river discharge periods for the Yukon River-Bering Sea system. The average DOC concentration at the multiple Yukon River mouths ranged from a high of 10.36 mg C L -1 during the ascending limb of the 2019 freshet (late May), 6.4 mg C L -1 during the descending limb of the 2019 freshet (late June), and a low of 3.86 mg C L -1 during low river discharge in August 2018. CDOM absorption coefficient at 412 nm ( a CDOM (412)) averaged 8.23 m -1 , 5.07 m -1 , and 1.9 m -1 , respectively. Several approaches to model DOC concentration based on its relationship with CDOM properties demonstrated cross-system seasonal and spatial robustness for these Arctic coastal systems despite spanning an order of magnitude decrease in DOC concentration from the lower Yukon River to the Northern Bering Sea as well as the North Slope systems. “Snapshot” fluxes of DOC and CDOM across the Yukon River Delta to Norton Sound were calculated from our measurements and modeled water fluxes forced with upstream USGS river gauge data. Our findings suggest that during high river flow, DOM reaches the delta largely unaltered by inputs or physical and biogeochemical processing and that the transformations of Yukon River DOM largely occur in the plume. However, during low summer discharge, multiple processes including local precipitation events, microbial decomposition, photochemistry, and likely others can alter the DOM properties within the lower Yukon River and Delta prior to flowing into Norton Sound.